王慧敏, 栾金凯, 马宁. 基于水动力模型的黄河上游典型地区暴雨洪水过程模拟[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版). DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2024045
引用本文: 王慧敏, 栾金凯, 马宁. 基于水动力模型的黄河上游典型地区暴雨洪水过程模拟[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版). DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2024045
WANG Huimin, LUAN Jinkai, MA Ning. Hydrodynamic modelling of flash flood processes in the typical regions in the upper Yellow River basin[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science). DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2024045
Citation: WANG Huimin, LUAN Jinkai, MA Ning. Hydrodynamic modelling of flash flood processes in the typical regions in the upper Yellow River basin[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science). DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2024045

基于水动力模型的黄河上游典型地区暴雨洪水过程模拟

Hydrodynamic modelling of flash flood processes in the typical regions in the upper Yellow River basin

  • 摘要: 全球气候变暖背景下极端洪水灾害频发,对地处干旱、半干旱地区的黄河流域之影响尤为明显,洪水灾害风险增大.为了提高干旱区洪水灾害的应对能力,本文以地处黄河上游的十大孔兑地区为主要研究对象,以水动力模型HEC-RAS为主要研究手段,以雨量站和水文站观测数据及哨兵卫星影像为主要数据,对该区典型的暴雨洪水事件进行了详细的过程模拟,评估模型对洪水事件的模拟效果.本研究主要发现包括:(1)基于哨兵影像的验证表明,水动力模型可较为准确地模拟该区洪水淹没过程;(2)数字高程模型(DEM)的分辨率和质量对模拟的洪水淹没范围准确度影响最为明显;(3)HEC-RAS在运用高分辨的DEM和计算网格对大流域进行洪水模拟时仍存在较大局限性.此外,本研究认为该地区应加强水文监测工作,为未来建立集成“四预”一体的洪涝灾害防御系统提供充足的数据支撑.

     

    Abstract: Under the background of global warming, extreme flood disasters have become more frequent, with their impact especially pronounced in the arid and semi-arid regions of the Yellow River Basin. To enhance the capability in defending flood disaster in arid regions, this study focuses on the Ten Watershed in the upper reach of the Yellow River. This study primarily employs the Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) as the main research tool and uses model simulation results and Sentinel satellite observations as the main data sources. This study conducts detailed process simulations of typical torrential rain flood events in the area and evaluates their effects on flood event simulations. The main findings of this research include: (1) Validation based on Sentinel images shows that the hydrodynamic model can simulate flood inundation with a relatively high accuracy; (2) The resolution and quality of the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) are vital for the accuracy of the simulated flood inundation extent; (3) HEC-RAS still has considerable limitations in simulating floods in large basins using high-resolution DEMs and computational grids. Additionally, this study suggests that the region should strengthen hydrological monitoring efforts to provide ample data support for establishing an integrated flood defense system in the future.

     

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