CGE模型在低碳转型研究领域的应用态势基于CiteSpace的文献计量分析

Application trends of CGE models in low-carbon transition research: a bibliometric analysis

  • 摘要: 文章利用可视化分析工具CiteSpace 6.2.R4全面考察了基于CGE的低碳转型相关研究的发文量趋势、作者合作网络、期刊分布及研究热点和前沿,并对比讨论了国内外运用CGE模型分析低碳转型存在的差异,以及中国运用CGE模型研究低碳转型面临的机遇,并提出了CGE模型在低碳转型领域的应用前景.研究发现:1)2013—2023年的发文量经历了缓慢增长和快速增长2个阶段,运用CGE模型研究低碳转型已成当下热点.2)相关研究发表在经济学、环境、能源等多个学科的核心期刊上,显示该研究得到了广泛关注.研究者团队较为稳定,机构之间存在大量合作,中国和日本的高校与科研机构成为重要力量.3)研究热点集中在碳减排政策、可再生能源发展和碳中和路径对社会经济的影响方面,电力转型、减碳综合效益评估成为新兴的研究前沿.4)国内外在使用CGE模型研究低碳转型时存在显著差异,这些差异主要体现在数据可用性、政策环境和能源结构方面.未来,CGE模型的发展应更加关注社会公平、技术进步和跨学科合作等,以应对不断变化的研究需求和复杂的经济环境.

     

    Abstract: The visualization tool CiteSpace 6.2.R4 is used in this study to identify publication trends, author collaboration networks, journal distribution patterns, research hotspots and frontiers in CGE model-based studies on low-carbon transition. Differences are identified between China and other countries in using CGE models to analyze low-carbon transitions. It is found that, from 2013 to 2023, the total number of publications showed two phases of growth: slow growth and rapid growth. Currently, the use of CGE models to study low-carbon transition has become a prominent research topic. Related studies are published in core journals across multiple disciplines such as economics, environmental science, and energy, indicating widespread attention to this area of research. Research teams are found to be relatively stable, with significant collaborations among institutions, universities and research institutions in China and Japan have emerged as pivotal forces. Research hotspots are found focused on impacts of carbon emission reduction policies, renewable energy development, and pathways to carbon neutrality on socio-economic aspects. Emerging frontiers include power sector transformation and comprehensive assessment of carbon reduction benefits. Significant differences are found to exist between China and other countries in using CGE models to study low-carbon transition. These differences primarily manifest in data availability, policy environments, and energy structures. In the future, CGE models should focus on social equity, technological advancement, and interdisciplinary collaboration, to address evolving research demands and complexities of economic environment.

     

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