基于GIS与随机森林算法的湖北田歌孕育地理分布区域模型研究

Regional modeling of geographic distribution of Tiange breeding in Hubei based on GIS and random forest algorithm

  • 摘要: 本文旨在探究湖北田歌的分布与田歌孕育的地理环境之间的关系,以期为区域音乐的实证研究提供新的思路和方法.本文以湖北田歌为研究对象,选取1 248个田歌样本数据集,运用地理信息系统(geographic information system,GIS)对初步选定的田歌分布及音乐要素影响因子进行建库,基于随机森林及可解释性算法(shapley additive explanations,SHAP)构建田歌影响因子体系分析模型,通过接收者操作特性曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC)对模型的有效性进行评价,分析田歌的分布、音乐要素与地理环境之间的关系.研究结果表明:1)基于随机森林构建的田歌影响因子体系模型预测效果较好,其曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)的值为0.82;2)对田歌产生及音乐要素影响因子重要性排序得出,多年平均降雨量和多年平均气温是孕育湖北田歌的主要因子.其随机森林及SHAP算法,能在一定程度上预测湖北田歌分布格局,对区域音乐文化与地理关联性研究具有重要意义.

     

    Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to explore the relationship between the distribution of field songs in Hubei and the geographic environment in which the field songs are nurtured, with a view to providing new ideas and methods for empirical research on regional music. This study takes Hubei Tiange as the research object, selects 1248 sample data sets of Tiange, uses Geographic Information System (GIS) to build a database of the distribution of the preliminary selected Tiange and the influencing factors of the music elements, and constructs an analytical model of the system of influencing factors of the Tiange based on the Random Forest and Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretable algorithms, and evaluates the validity of the model through the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, to analyze the distribution of the Tiange, the relationship between the music elements and the geographic environment. And analyze the relationship between the distribution of Tian songs, music elements and geographic environment. The results of the study show that: (1) the model of the influence factor system of field songs constructed based on the random forest has a good prediction effect, and its Area Under the Curve (AUC) value is 0.82; (2) the ranking of the importance of the influence factors of the generation of the field songs and the music elements shows that the multi-year average rainfall and the multi-year average temperature are the main factors of the cultivation of the field songs in Hubei. Its Random Forest and SHAP algorithms can predict the distribution pattern of Hubei Tiange to a certain extent, which is of great significance to the study of regional music culture and geographic correlation.

     

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