联合地下水监测井和重力卫星数据的京津冀地区地下水动态解析

Integrated groundwater monitoring wells and GRACE satellite data for groundwater dynamics analysis in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region

  • 摘要: 京津冀地区是华北地区地下水超采综合治理的重点区域,分析地下水水位和储量变化及其驱动要素对地下水超采治理具有重要的意义.本研究基于地下水水位、GRACE重力卫星、降雨量和开采量等数据,利用水量平衡、MK趋势检验、相关性分析和交叉小波等方法,系统分析了区域地下水动态演变规律.主要结论如下:1)2014年前京津冀平原区地下水水位持续下降,2015—2022年显著回升,北京平原区浅层地下水水位下降速率大于深层,而天津和河北平原区浅层地下水水位下降速率小于深层;北京平原区浅层地下水水位由0.85 m/年下降速度转为上升1.1 m/年,天津市第Ⅲ承压含水层漏斗中心水位由0.28 m/年下降速度转为上升2.8 m/年,而河北省浅层地下水水位下降速度从0.28 m/年减缓至0.17 m/年,并于2021年开始快速回升.这种恢复趋势主要得益于降水增加、地下水压采政策和生态补水工程的协同作用.2)地下水储量在2003—2007年期间下降趋势较缓,而2008年开始快速下降,且夏季和秋季下降范围最大.3)地下水储量和水位变化趋势具有较高的一致性,北京市浅层地下水储量与水位变化之间的相关性(0.6)高于深层(0.53),而天津(0.76和0.40)和以衡水为代表的河北(0.45和-0.28)深层相关性更强.4)交叉小波分析揭示水位和储量与气候因子存在显著年周期共振,其中对降水响应存在4.5~6个月滞后,对蒸散发滞后约3个月.

     

    Abstract: The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region serves as a critical area for comprehensive groundwater overexploitation management in North China. Analyzing variations in groundwater levels and storage, as along with their driving factors, is of great significance for groundwater management. This study systematically investigated the regional groundwater dynamics using groundwater levels, GRACE satellite observations, precipitation, and extraction data, through water balance analysis, Mann-Kendall trend tests, correlation analysis, and cross-wavelet transform methods. The main conclusions are as follows: 1) Groundwater levels in the BTH plain showed continuous decline before 2014 but significant recovery during 2015-2022. In Beijing Plain, the declining rate of shallow groundwater (−0.85 m/yr) was greater than that of deep groundwater, whereas in the Tianjin and Hebei Plains, the decline rate of shallow groundwater levels was lower than that of deep groundwater levels. The shallow groundwater level in Beijing Plain changed from declining at 0.85 m/yr to rising at 1.1 m/yr. In Tianjin, the groundwater level at the depression cone center of the third confined aquifer shifted from declining at 0.28 m/yr to rising at 2.8 m/yr. In Hebei Province, the declining rate of shallow groundwater decreased from 0.28 m/yr to 0.17 m/yr, with rapid recovery beginning in 2021. This recovery trend mainly resulted from the combined effects of increased precipitation, groundwater extraction restriction policies, and ecological water replenishment projects. 2) Groundwater storage showed relatively slow decline during 2003-2007 but accelerated after 2008, with the most extensive depletion occurring in summer and autumn. 3) Groundwater storage and level variations exhibited high consistency. In Beijing, the correlation between shallow groundwater storage and level changes (0.6) was higher than that for deep groundwater (0.53), while in Tianjin (0.76 vs 0.40) and Hebei (represented by Hengshui: 0.45 vs −0.28), deep groundwater showed stronger correlations. 4) Cross-wavelet analysis revealed significant annual-scale resonance between groundwater level/storage and climatic factors, with 4.5-6 months lags in response to precipitation and approximately 3-month lags for evapotranspiration.

     

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