基于实时控制规则的洪水调度模型以北京市城市流域为例

Real-time control flood simulation model: case of the Beijing urban basin

  • 摘要: 为满足新形势下洪水灾害防御预演分析要求,以北京城市流域为研究区域,采用InfoWorks ICM Live实时洪涝模拟软件,引入实时控制规则策略(real-time control)设置“西蓄、东排、南北分洪”防洪调度规则,接入“睿思”实时降雨预报数据产品,建立一套城市流域实时洪水模拟模型.可实时模拟多节点河道洪水变化过程,并对比闸坝启用前后的防洪调度效益,模型计算结果约10 min动态更新,Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数可达到80%,加入 RTC控制后场次洪水削峰率达13%~48%.研究成果可为城市流域防洪调度指挥决策提供科学依据.

     

    Abstract: This paper aims to investigate the urban watershed of Beijing to meet requirements for flood disaster prevention rehearsal analysis. InfoWorks ICM Live real-time flood simulation software and real-time control (RTC) strategies are used to set up flood control dispatching rules of “West storage, East discharge, and South-North flood diversion” .The “Rui Si” real-time rainfall forecast data product is incorporated to establish a real-time urban watershed flood simulation model, which can dynamically simulate flood change process in multi-node river channels in real-time and compare flood control benefits before and after operation of gates and dams. The computation results are dynamically updated approximately every 10 minutes, with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient of up to 80%. If RTC control is introduced, the flood peak reduction rate for flood events ranges from 13% to 48%. These data will provide scientific support for decision-making in urban watershed flood control and dispatching.

     

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