孙彤, 李艳忠, 陈力, 成硕, 庄稼成, 星寅聪, 王洁, 孟良. 长序列遥感降水产品在黄河流域干旱监测中的适用性评估[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2024, 60(1): 99-105. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2022203
引用本文: 孙彤, 李艳忠, 陈力, 成硕, 庄稼成, 星寅聪, 王洁, 孟良. 长序列遥感降水产品在黄河流域干旱监测中的适用性评估[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2024, 60(1): 99-105. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2022203
SUN Tong, LI Yanzhong, CHEN Li, CHENG Shuo, ZHUANG Jiacheng, XING Yincong, WANG Jie, MENG Liang. Long series remote sensing of precipitation products in drought monitoring of the Yellow River basin: applicability assessment[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2024, 60(1): 99-105. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2022203
Citation: SUN Tong, LI Yanzhong, CHEN Li, CHENG Shuo, ZHUANG Jiacheng, XING Yincong, WANG Jie, MENG Liang. Long series remote sensing of precipitation products in drought monitoring of the Yellow River basin: applicability assessment[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2024, 60(1): 99-105. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2022203

长序列遥感降水产品在黄河流域干旱监测中的适用性评估

Long series remote sensing of precipitation products in drought monitoring of the Yellow River basin: applicability assessment

  • 摘要: 以1983—2019年流域298个气象站点插值得到的格网降水(CMA)为标准,采用相关系数、相对偏差和均方根误差等统计指标,评估了3种降水产品对月、季、半年、年4种时间尺度(SPI1、SPI3、SPI6、SPI12)干旱特征的表征能力.研究发现:PERSIANN-CDR在监测干旱年际(SPI12)波动情况和量化干旱面积方面,总体估算结果偏大,但仍明显优于其他2种产品;多源集成产品MSWEP在估算降水量和捕捉降水空间分布格局方面,优于其他2种产品,但在气象站稀疏、地形复杂、气候多变的上游区,其一致性具有较大地区差异;PERSIANN-CDR和CHIRPS产品适用于表征中期干旱,而MSWEP适用于表征短期干旱; MSWEP能较好地捕捉CMA的SPI值变化趋势以及典型干旱事件的空间分布情况,但总体上3种产品对典型干旱事件识别方面(降水量及其空间捕捉)均需进一步改进.

     

    Abstract: Grid precipitation (CMA) obtained by interpolation from 298 meteorological stations from 1983 to 2019 were used as standard. Correlation coefficient, relative deviation, root mean square error, and other statistical indexes were applied to evaluate three precipitation products for characterization of drought on four different time scales (SPI1, SPI3, SPI6, SPI12). PERSIANN-CDR was found better than the other two products in monitoring interannual drought fluctuation (SPI12) and in quantifying drought areas. MSWEP was found better than the other two products in precipitation estimation and precipitation spatial distribution pattern capture. But in the upstream region with sparse weather stations, complex terrain, and changeable climate, consistency of MSWEP showed large regional differences. PERSIANN-CDR and CHIRPS were found suitable for medium drought characterization, while MSWEP was suitable for short drought characterization. MSWEP could capture the SPI trend of CMA and spatial distribution of typical drought events. These three products need to be further improved in the identification of typical drought events (precipitation and spatial capture). These data can be used to select remote sensing data sources for drought monitoring in the Yellow River basin, and to improve remote sensing of precipitation inversion algorithm.

     

/

返回文章
返回