南水回补区地下水水质敏感指标识别及关联性研究

Identification and correlation of sensitive indicators for groundwater quality in South water recharge areas

  • 摘要: 基于北京市通州区2011—2019年地下水位及水质数据,构建了区内南水北调回补前后多个水质指标的ROC曲线;通过识别受回补影响的、AUC>0.7的高度敏感性指标Fe3+质量浓度,以及AUC为0.6~0.7的中度敏感性指标\rmNO_3^- \rmNO_2^- 和F质量浓度后发现:Fe3+在回补后总体质量浓度变小; \rmNO_3^- \rmNO_2^- 和F质量浓度变大.以F为例,构建了R-V copula模型,结果表明:与F敏感性密切相关的指标分别为Ca2+、Mg2+、Na+、Cl质量浓度和pH;关联性的具体表现是Ca2+质量浓度与F质量浓度明显负相关,区内地下水回补后Ca2+质量浓度下降,激发了F的活跃度;pH与F通过Ca2+产生间接相关关系,当pH增大、环境偏碱性时,水中Ca2+的活性降低,利于F富集;Mg2+、Na+、Cl与F的质量浓度表现为正相关关系,其中Mg2+与F的质量浓度相关关系受溶滤作用以及水力联系的影响,Cl与F的质量浓度同时增大,这是由于存在置换反应;Na+在Ca2+质量浓度较低时与F发生吸附解吸,从而得以富集.区内控制回补后地下水中F敏感富集,主要是因为回补不但激发了原生地质成因的含氟矿物溶解与混合稀释作用对含氟矿物溶解的促进,而且也加速了Cl与F的相互置换、Na+与F的吸附解吸.研究成果可深化对南水北调回补区水质演化机制的认识,为北京城市副中心未来的地下水监测管理与供水安全保障提供理论支撑和决策依据.

     

    Abstract: Groundwater level and water quality data in Tongzhou District, Beijing from 2011-2019 were used to construct ROC curves of some water quality indicators before and after recharge of South-to-North water in the area.The following were identified: highly sensitive indicator Fe3+ with AUC value > 0.7, moderately sensitive indicators \rmNO_3^- , \rmNO_2^- and F with AUC values between 0.6~0.7. Concentration of Fe3+ was found to have become lower after recharge, but concentrations of \rmNO_3^- , \rmNO_2^- and F increased. A R-V copula model was constructed taking index F as an example.Indicators closely related to the sensitivity of F were found to be Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, Cl, pH.Ca2+ and Fwere found markedly negatively correlated.After groundwater recharge, area Ca2+ concentration was found to have decreased, which stimulated Factivity; pH and F showed an indirect correlation via Ca2+.With increased pH and alkaline environment, water Ca2+ activity decreased, this was beneficial for F enrichment.Fshowed positive correlations with Mg2+, Na+, Cl.The correlation between Mg2+ and F was due to the lixiviation and intimate hydraulic connection.Simultaneous increases in Cl and F were due to displacement reaction.When Ca2+ concentration was low, Na+ would adsorb and desorb with F, F could therefore be enriched.The sensitive enrichment of F in groundwater after recharge was due to 2 reasons. On the one hand, recharge stimulated dissolution of fluorine-containing minerals of primary geological origin and mixed dilution to promote dissolution of fluorine-containing minerals. On the other hand, recharge accelerated the mutual displacement of Cl and F, plus adsorption and desorption of Na+ and Cl.The present work helps deepen the understanding of the evolution mechanism of groundwater quality in South-to-North water recharge area, also provides theoretical support and decision-making basis regarding groundwater monitoring, managing and water supply security in Beijing municipal administrative center.

     

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