黄银丹, 王晓敏, 张博宇, 董雅丽. 带有异质性的国家间合作减排问题研究[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 59(5): 806-811. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023054
引用本文: 黄银丹, 王晓敏, 张博宇, 董雅丽. 带有异质性的国家间合作减排问题研究[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 59(5): 806-811. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023054
HUANG Yindan, WANG Xiaomin, ZHANG Boyu, DONG Yali. Global emission reduction with heterogenous agents[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2023, 59(5): 806-811. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023054
Citation: HUANG Yindan, WANG Xiaomin, ZHANG Boyu, DONG Yali. Global emission reduction with heterogenous agents[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2023, 59(5): 806-811. DOI: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023054

带有异质性的国家间合作减排问题研究

Global emission reduction with heterogenous agents

  • 摘要: 基于《巴黎协定》中的自主贡献(intended nationally determined contributions)和全球盘点(global stocktake)机制,建立了带集体风险的多周期公共品博弈模型,应用子博弈精炼纳什均衡方法分析了当不同国家在禀赋、减排成本、气候风险等方面存在异质性时,能否及如何达成合作减排.研究发现,若所有国家气候风险的加权平均达到或者超过减排目标系数,则可以通过构造Grim策略使合作成为子博弈精炼纳什均衡,并且减排周期和国家数量的变化不会影响合作均衡的达成.

     

    Abstract: A multi-period public goods game model with collective risk is established, based on “Intended Nationally Determined Contributions” and “Global Stocktake” mechanisms proposed in the Paris Agreement. Subgame perfect Nash equilibrium method is applied to analyze whether and how to achieve emission reduction target when developed and developing countries have heterogeneity in endowment, emission reduction costs, and climate risk. If the weighted average of climate risk of all countries reaches or exceeds the coefficient of emission reduction target, then global cooperation can be the outcome of a subgame perfect Nash equilibrium through the Grim strategy. Further, emission reduction period and numbers of developed and non-developed countries do not affect global cooperation.

     

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