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地球系统复杂性研究综述

王上 孟君 陈晓松 樊京芳

王上, 孟君, 陈晓松, 樊京芳. 地球系统复杂性研究综述[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 59(5): 796-805. doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156
引用本文: 王上, 孟君, 陈晓松, 樊京芳. 地球系统复杂性研究综述[J]. 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 59(5): 796-805. doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156
WANG Shang, MENG Jun, CHEN Xiaosong, FAN Jingfang. An overview of complexity studies on Earth systems[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2023, 59(5): 796-805. doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156
Citation: WANG Shang, MENG Jun, CHEN Xiaosong, FAN Jingfang. An overview of complexity studies on Earth systems[J]. Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science), 2023, 59(5): 796-805. doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156

地球系统复杂性研究综述

doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(12275020, 12135003, 12205025)
详细信息
    通讯作者:

    樊京芳(1985—),男,教授,博士生导师. 研究方向:统计物理和地球复杂系统. E-mail:jingfang@bnu.edu.cn

  • 中图分类号: O414.2

An overview of complexity studies on Earth systems

  • 摘要: 本文旨在全面回顾统计物理学、复杂系统科学(如临界现象、网络理论、渗流、临界点分析和熵)以及机器学习等方法在复杂地球系统研究和应用方面的最新进展.这些方法的整合,为理解地球系统的动力学,提供了新的见解和视角.通过运用这些方法,可以更好地建模、分析地球系统中的相互关系和非线性效应,揭示系统的复杂行为和临界性质.

     

  • 图  1  地球系统科学(ESS)发展的时间线图解

    图  2  在 512 × 512 的二维正方晶格上的边渗流团簇

    注:不同的子团大小有不同的颜色,取决于子团的大小,从蓝色(小子团)到红色(无限大子团)不等.渗流阈值为$ {P}_{{\rm{c}}}=0.5 $.a. P = 0.3 ;b. P =0.5; c. P = 0.55.

    表  1  地球气候系统中的一些基本的主要临界要素[36]

    编号 临界要素 具体表现
    1 格陵兰冰盖(Greenland ice sheet) 冰损失加剧(Ice loss accelerating)
    2 北极海冰(Arctic sea ice) 海冰区域面积减少(reduction in area)
    3 北方森林(boreal forest) 火灾和害虫变化(fire and pests changing)
    4 亚马逊雨林(Amazon rainforest) 频繁的旱灾(frequent droughts)
    5 大西洋环流(Atlantic circulation) 自1950年代以来减缓(in slowdown since 1950s)
    6 西伯利亚冻土(Permafrost) 永久冻土解冻(thawing)
    7 澳大利亚珊瑚礁(Coral reefs) 大面积死亡白化(large-scale die-offs)
    8 南极洲东部的威尔克斯盆地
    (Wilkes Basin, East Antarctica)
    冰损失加剧(ice loss accelerating)
    9 南极洲西部的冰盖
    (West Antarctic ice sheet)
    冰损失加剧(ice loss accelerating)
    下载: 导出CSV
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出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2023-06-12
  • 录用日期:  2023-06-12
  • 网络出版日期:  2023-09-15
  • 刊出日期:  2023-10-31

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