地球系统复杂性研究综述

王上; 孟君; 陈晓松; 樊京芳

doi:10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156

地球系统复杂性研究综述

doi: 10.12202/j.0476-0301.2023156

王上^1,,
孟君²,
陈晓松¹,
樊京芳^{1, 3, ,}

1.
北京师范大学系统科学学院，100875，北京
2.
北京邮电大学理学院，100876，北京
3.
德国波茨坦气候影响研究所，14412，德国波茨坦

基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目（12275020, 12135003, 12205025）

详细信息

通讯作者:
樊京芳(1985—)，男，教授，博士生导师．研究方向：统计物理和地球复杂系统. E-mail：jingfang@bnu.edu.cn

中图分类号: O414.2
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- 文章访问数: 158
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- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2023-06-12
- 录用日期: 2023-06-12
- 网络出版日期: 2023-09-15
- 刊出日期: 2023-10-31

An overview of complexity studies on Earth systems

1.
School of Systems Science，Institute of Nonequilibrium Systems，Beijing Normal University，100875，Beijing，China
2.
School of Science，Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications，100876，Beijing ，China
3.
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research，14412，Potsdam，Germany

摘要

摘要: 本文旨在全面回顾统计物理学、复杂系统科学(如临界现象、网络理论、渗流、临界点分析和熵)以及机器学习等方法在复杂地球系统研究和应用方面的最新进展．这些方法的整合，为理解地球系统的动力学，提供了新的见解和视角．通过运用这些方法，可以更好地建模、分析地球系统中的相互关系和非线性效应，揭示系统的复杂行为和临界性质．
- 统计物理 /
- 地球复杂系统 /
- 复杂网络 /
- 气候变化
Abstract: This review aims to comprehensively recapitulate the latest scientific advancements in methods from statistical physics, complex systems science (such as critical phenomena, network theory, percolation, critical point analysis, and entropy), and machine learning in the research and application of complex Earth systems． The integration of these methods provides new insights and perspectives for understanding the dynamics of Earth systems． By applying these methods, we can better model and analyze the interrelationships and nonlinear effects in Earth systems, revealing the system’s complexity and critical properties．
- statistical physics /
- complex Earth systems /
- complex networks /
- climate change

HTML全文

图 1 地球系统科学(ESS)发展的时间线图解

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 2 在 512 × 512 的二维正方晶格上的边渗流团簇

注：不同的子团大小有不同的颜色，取决于子团的大小，从蓝色（小子团）到红色(无限大子团)不等．渗流阈值为$ {P}_{{\rm{c}}}=0.5 $．a. P = 0.3 ；b. P =0.5； c. P = 0.55.

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

表 1 地球气候系统中的一些基本的主要临界要素^[36]

编号	临界要素	具体表现
1	格陵兰冰盖（Greenland ice sheet）	冰损失加剧（Ice loss accelerating）
2	北极海冰（Arctic sea ice）	海冰区域面积减少（reduction in area）
3	北方森林（boreal forest）	火灾和害虫变化（fire and pests changing）
4	亚马逊雨林（Amazon rainforest）	频繁的旱灾（frequent droughts）
5	大西洋环流（Atlantic circulation）	自1950年代以来减缓（in slowdown since 1950s）
6	西伯利亚冻土（Permafrost）	永久冻土解冻（thawing）
7	澳大利亚珊瑚礁（Coral reefs）	大面积死亡白化（large-scale die-offs）
8	南极洲东部的威尔克斯盆地（Wilkes Basin, East Antarctica）	冰损失加剧（ice loss accelerating）
9	南极洲西部的冰盖（West Antarctic ice sheet）	冰损失加剧（ice loss accelerating）

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